Tuesday night Ed Gillespie lost the Virginia gubernatorial race to Lieutenant Governor, Ralph Northam. An expected result given the high saturation of Democrat voters in the cities within Virginia. The vast acreage of Virginia is Republican friendly however, the urban areas are more densely populated and sodden with constituents who identify and vote Democrat. The result was an 8 point win for Ralph Northam.
The overwhelming jubilation was on full display as Tom Perez stated the following:
“You have sent a message tonight not simply to the voters in the Commonwealth of Virginia, you have sent a message across the globe to South Korea: Donald Trump, you do not stand for our values. The America that Donald Trump comes back to in a few days is far different than the America he left. It’s an America, where we are regaining our values.”
DNC Chairman Tom Perez’s overblown proclamation does not articulate the reality of the situation because the truth is rather deflating. Before the election Tuesday evening, Virginia had a Democrat sitting in the Governor’s office and a Democrat Lieutenant Governor. Ralph Northam (D) won the gubernatorial election and Justin Fairfax (D) won the Lieutenant gubernatorial election. Wednesday morning, Virginia had a Democrat coming into the Governor’s office and a Democrat coming in as Lieutenant Governor; ultimately nothing changed in Virginia. The only change that took place throughout the country on Tuesday night was the New Jersey Governorship. That too was expected.
Over the past year Chris Christie had displayed a level of arrogance with constituents that doomed any possibility of his Lieutenant Governor, Kim Guadagno, winning the New Jersey gubernatorial race. Chris Christie argued with constituents on the radio, at baseball games, even at a polling station on Election Day. The polling in New Jersey showed Democrat Phil Murphy with a strong lead over the Republican, Lieutenant Governor Kim Guadagno. The polling remained consistent throughout the race leading most Republicans to assume a loss was in store. Their expectations were confirmed Tuesday when Democrat Phil Murphy garnered 55.64% of the vote to become New Jersey’s next Governor.
The over-the-top reactions from Democrats suggests they believed there was a good chance at losing Virginia to the Republicans, even though Hillary Clinton won by 5 points just one year prior. The Democrats broke even last night as it pertains to their overall Congressional representation. Donald Trump is still in the White House. The Republican Party still holds the House and the Senate. The Republican Party still holds 33 Governorships to the Democratic Party’s 16. This is the embarrassing reality that is the Democratic Party; they refuse to acknowledge reality for what it is. Remember, to them there are 62 genders that can be bent, at any moment, to accommodate various whims and fancies.
As for Democrats that are considering this election outcome as a “referendum on President Trump,” they are only furthering their detachment from reality. Ed Gillespie did not embrace the Donald Trump platform nor did he present himself as an avid supporter of the President. In the days running up to the election Gillespie utilized the President in some robo-calls, but that was too little too late. Gillespie, who ran the RNC from 2003 – 2005, presented himself as the same old establishment Republican that would prefer to use insinuations rather than blunt force language. In the current political environment, modern GOP voters want a strong force that will face the abhorrent opposition with unwavering vigor.
Republican voters finally have a strong leader within President Trump. A leader that will fight back while refusing to bend to empty accusations of racism, bigotry, xenophobia, homophobia, and sexism. Finally we have found a leader that will not cower to faux outrage, and we want more.
The Democrats’ gleeful celebration of winning the Virginia gubernatorial race is akin to a gleeful celebration of winning $20 on a $20 scratch-off lottery ticket… after losing $100 the day before.
Fact of the matter is; the 2018 mid-term elections favor Republicans far more than Democrats. There are only 8 Republicans up for reelection in the Senate, 1 of which is vulnerable. Democrats have 25 Senate seats up for reelection, 5 of which are vulnerable.
-Senator Dean Heller (R-NV) is the only Republican Senator up for reelection in a state that Hillary Clinton won in the 2016 Presidential election. Dean Heller won his Senate seat with only 46% of the vote and carries a low approval rating, which could result in this seat flipping to a Democrat.
-Senator Claire McCaskill (D-MO) is one of the last Democratic officeholders within the entire state of Missouri, which Donald Trump won by 19 points. With very strong support for the President throughout the state of Missouri and many of her Democratic colleagues previously ousted, McCaskill’s seat could likely flip to a Republican.
-Senator Joe Donally (D-IN) is another Democrat that will have to fight extremely hard to win reelection. Donald Trump won Indiana by 19 points which will certainly prove to be a difficult barrier for Senator Donally to overcome.
-Senator Joe Manchin (D-WV) could be one of the most vulnerable incumbents given President Trump won West Virginia by 42 points. Senator Manchin has voiced a desire to work with the Trump Administration but his Democratic colleagues have hampered those efforts.
-Senator Heidi Heitkamp (D-ND) is another Democrat that will be vulnerable heading into the 2018 mid-terms. President Trump won North Dakota by 36 points which will act as a heavy burden come election time.
-Senator John Tester (D-MO) will have a steep hill to climb in the 2018 mid-term elections. Tester has never garnered 50% of the vote in either of his Senate bids and serves in a state where President Trump won by over 20 points. A head to head race between Democrat John Tester and a Republican, such as Matt Rosendale, could spell doom for the Democrat.
If Congressional Republicans start securing legislative wins over the next year, maintaining the majorities in both houses of Congress shouldn’t be much of an issue. The legislative wins are more of a boon to Senate and Congressional Republicans rather than the President. The success of the President’s agenda relies directly on both Congressional houses, Americans soundly understand this. If tax reform makes its way to the President’s desk that will be a good start in securing stronger majorities as we move passed the 2018 mid-terms.